Diesel Intelligence

Read this report to:

  • Understand key trends in the diesel market in the top 5 European countries
  • Learn how the used car market has responded to the diesel emissions crisis
  • Recognise the impact on different market segments and between individual countries
  • Assess future threats and the impact this could have on future residual values
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The insight that helps you negotiate the road ahead

Diesel has been the dominant fuel in much of Europe for decades, but a series of threats are disrupting its position in the industry and could lead to it disappearing from some vehicle segments altogether. The diesel engine emissions scandal has rapidly grown to implicate many major manufacturers. Stricter pollution laws and global concerns about diesel emissions are affecting the industry. Changes in consumer demand and fuel costs will also play key roles in how the industry moves toward the future.

With diesel residual values expected to decline across most of the EU5 countries during the next few years, how can you protect your business? What information do you need to make the right decisions? Can you take on the challenges facing the industry and succeed?

"The Autovista report helped us to get a clear overview on the different developments on diesel engines and was thoroughly substantiated."
Pricing Manager, ALD Automotive

"It was an interesting report... It provided a good overview of the status in each country."
BMW Alphabet

Executive Summary

Drivers of change 
Impact on the used car market
The decline of diesel in small car segments
Future influences on diesel - SWOT Analysis
Rebuilding diesel’s reputation
Future Residual Values                                           

 

Report Findings

Shape of the market
Market influences
Current trends
Legislation
Fuel costs
Customer requirements - the impact of ‘Dieselgate’
Diesel divergence between European countries
Future trends

 

Markets in Focus

Overview and in-depth investigation into each vehicle segment for each of the EU5 markets:
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK

 

References

 Figures And Tables

  • Vehicle segment definitions
  • Proportion of car sales taken by diesel 1995 - 2015 (EU15)
  • Proportion of car sales taken by diesel 1995 - 2015 (EU5)
  • Average CO2 emissions for new car registrations 2009 - 2015
  • Average petrol and diesel fuel prices (EU5)
  • VW brand diesel values compared to national averages post 'Dieselgate' 2015 - 2016
  • Scenarios for future development of diesel market share 1994 - 2025 (EU15)

 

France

  • France - Trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • France - percentage point gap: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • France - trade values: petrol versus diesel 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • France - percentage point gap: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: petrol versus diesel 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • France - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • France - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)

 

Germany

  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Germany - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • Germany - residual value percentage point gap: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (SUV-segment)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Germany - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)

 

Italy

  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage point gap: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: petrol versus diesel 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Italy - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • Italy - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)

 

Spain

  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus diesel 2013 - 2016 (D-segment premium v volume)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • Spain - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • Spain - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)

 

United Kingdom

  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (A-segment)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (B-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (C-segment premium versus volume)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (D-segment premium versus volume)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (E-segment)
  • UK - trade values: petrol versus diesel 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (F-segment)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (MPV-segment)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (large SUV)
  • UK - trade values: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)
  • UK - residual value percentage trends: diesel versus petrol 2013 - 2016 (small-to-medium SUV)

 

Tables

  • Drivers of change - impact and timescales
  • Key trends, causes and their impact on the used car market
  • Factors influencing divergence in diesel residual values (EU5)
  • Areas of influence for restoring confidence in diesel
  • Future residual value performance (EU5)
  • Growth in proportion of vehicle parc taken by diesel 2005 - 2014
  • Companies affected by emissions-related claims since 'Dieselgate'
  • Factors influencing divergence in diesel residual values (EU5)


The insight and intelligence in this report will help to:

OEMs

Benchmark your performance and quickly identify under performance and new opportunities. Understand prospects for new launches and confidently qualify internal residual value forecasts.


Fleet & Finance

Improve your understanding of risk, benchmark against your internal forecasts and enable you to optimise pricing of leasing contracts. It will help you to make effective business decisions on vehicles to infleet or defleet and identify opportunities to provide financing to new sectors.

 

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